Poland’s population set to decrease by 12.7% by 2060: study

Poland‘s resident population is set to decrease by 12.7% between 2022 and 2060, new data from Statistics Poland has revealed.

According to the data, the resident population of Poland – in other words, those residing within Poland for at least one year – will total 32.9 million people by 2060.

This is down 4.8 million on the 2022 figure.

An ageing population

The percentage of residents aged 65 and older is expected to increase by 2.5 million compared to 2022, an increase of 34.2%.

A significant increase in the number of persons aged 80 and more is also projected – by 2060, their number will be more than double compared to 2022.

At the same time, there will be a drop in the number of women of reproductive age residing in Poland in 2060, with this percentage standing at 71% of the equivalent 2022 figure.

Working age

A substantial decline in the working-age population is also anticipated, with projections indicating a reduction of over 23% by 2060 compared to the figures in 2022. This translates to a decrease of 5.1 million people in this age group.

Concurrently, the post-working age population is expected to increase by approximately two million, while the pre-working age population is projected to decrease by a similar amount during the same period.

Elsewhere, there is an anticipated decrease in emigration, Statistics Poland added. The assumption is that a notable portion of Ukrainian citizens, presently under temporary protection due to the conflict in Ukraine and residing in Poland, will return to their home country, while around 37.5% of individuals from Ukraine will choose to stay in Poland permanently.

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